The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leeds United U21 19.5%
Draw 19.8%
Chelsea U21 60.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
22.6%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
21.8%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leeds United U21's form might have worsened.
Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leeds United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Castledine L. (A),
21', 0 - 2, McNeilly D. ⚽, Castledine L. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Cresswell A. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
29', 2 - 2, Snowdon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 3, Sturge Z. ⚽,
Preview
Leeds U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Chelsea U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chelsea U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Leeds U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Leeds U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
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