Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	2.00	3.30	3.00
	1.95	3.68	3.26
	2.02	3.77	3.24	Watch
	1.93	3.60	3.20
	1.96	3.52	3.26
	1.97	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)	3.54 ↓ (3.73)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
45.8%

Draw
25.5%

Stockton Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

24.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Warrington Rylands have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Wood H. ⚽,
45+6', Costello C. 🟥,
45+7', 1 - 1, Nouble F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Warrington Rylands have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stockton Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stockton Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Warrington Rylands is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington Rylands won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Warrington Rylands: 3.89% Stockton: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Warrington Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	3	20
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.77%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Workington - Warrington Rylands	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Redcar Athletic	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Stockton Town - Redcar Athletic	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Avro - Stockton Town	5:3 ✺
25.08.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:2
29.11.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	3:1
08.02.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:3
12.10.24	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:3

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