Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ilkeston		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.15
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.02	3.89	1.98
	3.03	3.99	2.04	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.96
	3.1	3.95	2.11
	2.95	3.55	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.72 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
30.9%

Draw
24.6%

Warrington Rylands
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Wood H. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2.

Ilkeston is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Warrington Rylands shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Warrington Rylands may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warrington Rylands has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ilkeston has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ilkeston against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Warrington Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	3	20
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.41%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Workington - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Ilkeston - Quorn	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bury - Ilkeston	7:0 ✺
25.08.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- Warrington Rylands
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Chorley	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.02.26	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	3:1
18.10.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:2
29.03.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:1
23.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	0:1
27.04.24	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	2:0
11.11.23	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1

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