Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 7Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday
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Workington |
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Leek Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.98 |
3.40 |
3.10 |
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1.98 |
3.35 |
3.10 |
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2.00 |
3.72 |
3.19 |
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2.04 |
3.71 |
3.23 |
 Watch |
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1.97 |
3.55 |
3.15 |
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2.10 |
3.66 |
3.14 |
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2.02 |
3.45 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.39) |
3.55 ↑
(3.37) |
3.15 ↑
(2.57) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Workington
45.3% | Draw
25.7% | Leek Town
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Workington's performance.Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leek Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leek Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Workington - Leek Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 2 - 0, Barnes C. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 0, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 1, Griffiths J. ⚽,
- 76', 3 - 2, Griffiths J. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 16).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Workington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 21 |
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| 18 | Leek | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 11 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Workington - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Leek Town - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 25.04.26 | Workington - Leek Town | 0:1 | | 29.11.25 | Leek Town - Workington | 2:2 | | 12.04.25 | Leek Town - Workington | 1:0 | | 17.08.24 | Workington - Leek Town | 1:1 |
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