Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 13

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Leevon PPK		Riga Mariners

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.60	2.05
	3.1	3.8	1.9
	2.89	4.03	1.99
	3.72	4.49	1.66	Watch
	2.80	3.95	1.94
	3.13	4.1	1.9
	3.15	3.84	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.12)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	1.9 (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
29.4%

Draw
22.8%

Riga Mariners
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

23%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

22.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Grazis A. ⚽, Bokans E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Baturinskis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Baumanis R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

Leevon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Riga Mariners is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Riga Mariners may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Riga Mariners could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leevon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Leevon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leevon PPK	21	15	4	2	43:25	18	49
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian Cup
10.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	Leevon PPK - Metta	1:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	1:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
13.06.26	JDFS Alberts - Leevon PPK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWT
- Riga Mariners
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils	3:4 penalties ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
04.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Riga Mariners	0:4 ✺
27.06.26	Riga Mariners - Mārupe	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	Riga Mariners - JDFS Alberts	1:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
22.08.25	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:3
19.04.25	Riga Mariners - Leevon PPK	1:1

Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide