Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 12

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Valmiera		Leevon PPK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.40	5.50
	1.42	4.35	5.7
	1.41	4.7	5.57
	1.43	4.53	5.73	Watch
	1.39	4.4	5.5
	1.44	4.53	6.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	4.49 ↑ (4.3)	5.67 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valmiera
63.8%

Draw
20.2%

Leevon PPK
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valmiera - Leevon PPK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Yamamura T. ⚽, Stepanovs V. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Dembele M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Kurtiss M. ⚽, Baumanis R. (A),
57', Kirkils G. 🟥,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 4).

Valmiera is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leevon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valmiera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valmiera has had a series of away games.

In this match, Valmiera is the team to beat.

We predict that Valmiera will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
3	Leevon PPK	21	15	4	2	43:25	18	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
28.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.26	Smiltene - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWT
- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
28.06.26	Leevon PPK - Metta	1:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	1:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
13.06.26	JDFS Alberts - Leevon PPK	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
29.05.26	Traktors - Leevon PPK	3:5 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
23.05.26	Leevon PPK - JFK Ventspils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWW

Valmiera - Leevon PPK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide