Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Match TV
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Orange Futbol 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	1.98	2.87	4.1
	2.25	2.92	3.4	Watch
	2.38	3.04	3.53
	2.48	2.49	3.87	Watch
	2.3	2.99	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.71)	2.89 ↓ (3.58)	3.64 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leganés
41.4%

Draw
32.7%

Cádiz
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cádiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cádiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	11.1%	38.9%

Leganés - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Cádiz will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cádiz (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leganés (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leganés (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cádiz (4.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leganés (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cádiz (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Saenz J. (C) 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. 9. de la Fuente M.	13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 5. Diakite M. 18. Diarra Y. 19. de la Rosa J. 15. Ortuno S. 11. Suso (C) 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 15. Franquesa E. 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 14. Lopez R. 28. Macazaga L. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 13. San Roman M. (G)	29. Caicedo A. 28. Denia M. 8. Fernandez A. 30. Garcia D. 24. Gonzalez J. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 35. Obeng I. 10. Ocampo B. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R. 26. Perez F. (G)
Coaches
Lopez P.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Duk 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽, Duk (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortuno S. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
61', de la Rosa J. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
61', Suso ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
65', Duk ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Ocampo B. ⚽, Ontiveros J. (A),
73', Caicedo A. 🟨,
73', Marvel 🟨,
86', de la Fuente M. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
86', Garcia N. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
86', Diawara A. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
89', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Cádiz has had a series of home games.

Leganés could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Cruz J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gil D. (Knee Injury) Mwepu F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Pulido R. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.25	Huesca - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
29.07.25	Oxford United - Leganés	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Valencia - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWTT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
07.08.25	Cádiz - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Cádiz - Al-Sadd	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLW

Upcoming Matches