Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Germany	20:30	DAZN Deutsch
India	00:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	12:30	Izzi TV
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	20:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Leganés		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.50	2.10	Watch
	3.25	3.20	2.10
	2.90	3.20	2.20	Watch
	3.49	3.40	2.23
	3.18	3.41	2.25	Watch
	3.40	3.30	2.20
	3.27	3.52	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3)	3.36 ↑ (3.27)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
28.9%

Draw
27.9%

Castellón
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	38.5%	46.2%

Leganés - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zidane L. (G) 11. Garcia N. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. (C) 3. Montero J. 2. Marvel 22. Alex Sancris 20. Atienza M. 10. Buurmeester Z. 8. Kechta Y. 21. Morata A. 19. Soko P.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 14. Cordoba I. 2. Juanjo Nieto 21. Alvaro 8. Barri 10. Suero I. 16. Jakobsen A. 9. Camara O.
Substitutes
18. Campos A. 16. del Cura U. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Herrero J. 31. Lozano N. (G) 9. Millan A. 5. Miquel I. 36. Mulumba S. 4. Pulido R. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Sule 23. Tejero A.	12. Alcazar L. 19. Bellari H. 17. Castillo F. 11. Ceccherini F. 27. Gala A. 23. Garcia A. 15. Kostis I. 24. Muale Nzanza D. 7. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 20. Tincho 35. Torner Rosell S. (G)
Coaches
Albes R.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Morata A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Suero I. ⚽,
28', Cordoba I. 🟨,
30', Garcia N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Jakobsen A. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
56', Alex Sancris ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
56', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Sule ↑,
57', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Alcazar L. ↑,
57', Cordoba I. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
58', Marvel 🟨,
71', Jakobsen A. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
71', Marvel ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
71', Soko P. ↓, del Cura U. ↑,
77', Morata A. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
81', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
81', Suero I. ↓, Gala A. ↑,
82', Mellot J. 🟥,
84', Millan A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Kechta Y. 🟨,
90+1', Pulido R. 🟨,
90+5', del Cura U. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Leganés is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Castellón is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Castellón holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Gharbi I. (International duty).

Confirmed absences for Castellón: Brignani F. (Injury) Orozco M. (International duty) Rego R. (International duty) Saipi A. (International duty) Vlak J. (Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leganés has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leganés against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon	11	8	2	1	22:4	18	26
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7:16	-9	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 16.88% Leganes: 1.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Tenerife - Leganés	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Leganés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.09.26	Castellón - Tenerife	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Girona - Castellón	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Celta de Vigo B - Castellón	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Castellón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0
29.09.25	Leganés - Castellón	0:1
06.03.21	Leganés - Castellón	0:0
04.10.20	Castellón - Leganés	2:0

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