Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+


	Valladolid		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.25	3.65
	2.07	3.4	3.89
	1.99	3.45	3.84	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.7
	2.02	3.43	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.13)	3.36 ↑ (3.29)	3.77 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
47.1%

Draw
28%

Leganés
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Valladolid - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Leganés will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leganés (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 50%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 5. Martinez R. 27. Garriel I. 21. Ponceau J. 24. Juric S. (C) 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 7. Canos S. 10. Marcos Andre	1. Soriano J. (G) 36. Leiva M. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 8. Cisse S. 16. Melero G. 20. Plano O. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. (C) 9. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
12. Alani I. 17. Biuk S. 26. de Pablo A. (G) 25. Erlien V. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 9. Latasa J. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 2. Michelin C. 30. Modesto H. 19. Sanseviero L.	12. Asue L. 21. Campos A. 10. Cruz J. 22. Figueredo S. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 44. Menac Y. 13. San Roman M. (G) 33. Siame G.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Canos S. ⚽, Chuki (A),
39', Melero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Melero G. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
58', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Cisse S. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
69', Canos S. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Marcos Andre ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
78', 2 - 2, Duk ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
80', Plano O. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
80', Garcia D. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
82', Marcos Andre ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
82', Ponceau J. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
82', Garriel I. ↓, Modesto H. ↑,
86', Leiva M. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
86', Peter Federico ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Latasa J. ⚽, Modesto H. (A),
90+10', Tomeo P. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Valladolid could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Leganes: 2.33% Valladolid: 1.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leganés - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Valladolid - Huesca	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Granada - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Valladolid - Castellón	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.26	Leganés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0
Spanish LaLiga
24.05.25	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
03.02.24	Leganés - Valladolid	0:0
17.11.23	Valladolid - Leganés	1:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Leganés - Valladolid	4:1

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