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Current Win Probability
Leganés B 38.6%
Draw 28.3%
Trival Valderas 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.8%
28.1%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
28.6%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Leganés B - Trival Valderas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Rivero A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Mulumba S. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Adom B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Camara R. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés B won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Leganés B has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leganés B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Trival Valderas
8
3
4
1
12:9
3
13
9
Leganes B
8
3
2
3
15:12
3
11
Last Results with these Odds
Leganés B - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.