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Leganés - Deportivo Alavés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 24
  • Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)
  • Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Leganés Deportivo Alavés
    Leganés Deportivo Alavés
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.05)    		 3 ↓
    (3.08)    		 2.28 ↓
    (2.55)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)
  • Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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    Current Win Probability

    Leganés
    25.6%    		Draw
    32.1%    		Deportivo Alavés
    42.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    31.4% 31.1% 37.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    30.3% 32.2% 38.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    45.7% 34.3% 20%

    Leganés - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 16 - 45.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 29.2% – 62.2%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    12. FranceRosier V.
      6. SpainGonzalez S. (C)
    22. SerbiaNastasic M.
    20. SpainHernandez J.
      8. GuineaCisse S.
      5. PeruTapia R.
    10. SpainRaba D.
    14. SerbiaBrasanac D.
    11. SpainCruz J.
    19. SpainGarcia D.
    		  1. SpainSivera A. (C)
    14. ArgentinaTenaglia N.
      5. MoroccoAbqar A.
    22. MaliDiarra M.
      3. SpainSanchez M.
      8. SpainBlanco A.
      6. SpainGuevara A.
      7. SpainVicente C.
    18. SpainGuridi J.
    21. SpainAlena C.
    17. SpainGarcia K.
    Substitutes
      2. SpainAltimira A.
    36. SpainAlvin (G)
    28. SpainBachiller I.
    24. ArgentinaChicco J.
      9. Spainde la Fuente M.
    18. CapeDuk
    21. SpainLopez R.
    23. MoroccoMunir El Haddadi
      7. SpainRodriguez O.
      3. SpainSaenz J.
      1. SpainSoriano J. (G)
    		19. SpainCabanes P.
      2. ArgentinaGarces F.
    24. SpainJoan Jordan
    15. SpainMartin C.
    11. SpainMartinez T.
    12. UruguayMourino S.
    36. SpainPica A.
    23. UruguayProtesoni C.
    31. SpainRodriguez A. (G)
      4. SerbiaSedlar A.
      9. SpainVillalibre A.
    Coaches
         SpainJimenez B.
    		     ArgentinaCoudet E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 1)
    • 9', Diarra M. 🟨,
    • 10', 1 - 0, Raba D. (Pen),
    • 18', Sanchez M. 🟨,
    • 25', 1 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Alena C. (A),
    • 36', Coudet E. 🟨,
    • 36', Sivera A. 🟨,
    • 37', 2 - 1, Raba D. (Pen),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
    • 46', Guevara A. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
    • 46', Sanchez M. ↓, Mourino S. ↑,
    • 46', Guridi J. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
    • 50', 2 - 2, Joan Jordan (Pen),
    • 57', Brasanac D. 🟨,
    • 57', Jimenez B. 🟨,
    • 59', Mourino S. 🟨,
    • 65', Raba D. 🟨,
    • 67', Cruz J. 🟨,
    • 68', 2 - 3, Joan Jordan ⚽, Alena C. (A),
    • 72', Brasanac D. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
    • 72', Cruz J. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
    • 72', Cisse S. ↓, Duk ↑,
    • 76', Garcia K. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
    • 83', Duk 🟨,
    • 85', Tapia R. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
    • 85', Hernandez J. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
    • 87', Alena C. ↓, Pica A. ↑,
    • 88', 3 - 3, Munir El Haddadi ⚽, Rosier V. (A),
    • 90+6', Munir El Haddadi 🟥,
    • 90+10', Abqar A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 0.
  • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
  • Alavés will have a small advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Neyou Y. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Alavés: Conechny T. (Head Injury)
  • There are questionable in Leganés: Cisse S. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There are questionable in Alavés: Novoa Ramos H. (Injury) Owono J. (Knee Injury)
  • Last 18 head-to-head matches Leganés won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:19 (average 1.2:1.1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.4:0.8).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CD Leganés
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.02.25 Valencia - Leganés 2:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    05.02.25 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.01.25 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    26.01.25 Athletic Bilbao - Leganés 0:0 ✺
    18.01.25 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1
    LLLTW
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.02.25 Deportivo Alavés - Getafe 0:1 ✺
    02.02.25 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    27.01.25 Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    18.01.25 Betis - Deportivo Alavés 1:3 ✺
    11.01.25 Deportivo Alavés - Girona 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6
    LLTWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.24 Deportivo Alavés - Leganés 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2
    23.04.23 Deportivo Alavés - Leganés 2:1
    13.08.22 Leganés - Deportivo Alavés 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.02.20 Leganés - Deportivo Alavés 1:1
    13.12.19 Deportivo Alavés - Leganés 1:1
    07.04.19 Deportivo Alavés - Leganés 1:1
    23.11.18 Leganés - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CD Leganés
    Spanish LaLiga2
    11.10.26 Almería - Leganés ✺
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺

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