Match Info

LaLiga - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	15:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.88	Watch
	2.72	2.98	2.92	Watch
	2.56	3.09	3.15
	2.59	3.03	2.98	Watch
	2.74	3.13	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.59)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
36.2%

Draw
31.6%

Celta de Vigo
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

32.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	21.1%	31.6%

Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Celta will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Alavés (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 3. Yusi 7. Vicente C. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T. 15. Boye L.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Beltran F. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 15. Zaragoza B.
Substitutes
22. Diarra M. 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 19. Ibanez P. 29. Morcillo D. 24. Parada V. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 31. Swiderski G. (G)	4. Aidoo J. 28. Arcos A. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 7. Iglesias B. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Coudet E.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Jonny Otto 🟨,
17', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Rueda J. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Aspas I. (Pen),
61', Alena C. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
62', Vicente C. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
66', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
68', Pacheco J. 🟨,
73', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
73', Aspas I. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
73', Starfelt C. ↓, Aidoo J. ↑,
81', Jonny Otto ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
81', Suarez D. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
83', Zaragoza B. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
90', Martinez T. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1.

Alavés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)

There will not play in Celta: Alvarez H. (Ankle Injury) Dominguez C. (Ankle Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
08.11.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	CD Getxo - Deportivo Alavés	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLT
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Puerto de Vega - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
27.01.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	1:1
16.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
27.04.24	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	3:0
28.09.23	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
07.05.22	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	4:0
27.11.21	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	1:2
04.04.21	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	1:3

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