Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Leganés B		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	3.2	3.15	2.25
	2.65	3.1	2.42
	2.94	3.19	2.36
	2.88	3.16	2.33
	2.7	3.15	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.36)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.37 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés B
32.3%

Draw
29.1%

Coria
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

30%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leganés B's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Leganés B - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Leganés B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Coria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leganés B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Cacereño - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Leganés B - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Villanovense - Leganés B	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Leganés B - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Paso - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Don Benito - Coria	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Coria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Estepona - Coria	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Coria - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	Unión Adarve - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL

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