Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.05	3.4	2.1
	2.94	3.58	2.06
	3.14	3.68	2.01	Watch
	2.98	3.63	2.18
	3.05	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
29.8%

Draw
26.6%

Coria
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Unión Adarve - Coria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Coria (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Coria (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Alburquerque A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Ogando J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+2', 3 - 0, Alburquerque A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Unión Adarve is Relegated to

In recent matches, Unión Adarve has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coria is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Coria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Adarve won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Adarve won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Unión Adarve - Conquense	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Unión Adarve - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Madrid C - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWL
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Coria - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Cacereño - Coria	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Coria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	CD Guadalajara - Coria	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Coria - Melilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.12.24	Coria - Unión Adarve	1:0
29.01.23	Coria - Unión Adarve	1:0
11.09.22	Unión Adarve - Coria	2:1

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