Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Parla		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.52
	2.85	3.22	2.38	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.4
	2.7	3.08	2.46
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 (2.83)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parla
32.2%

Draw
30.1%

Torrejón
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.2%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Torrejón aligns with the current prediction.

Parla - Torrejón Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Febre ⚽,
68', Guzman M. 🟥,
78', 0 - 3, Angel ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Washington A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1.

Parla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torrejón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Galapagar - Parla	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Torrejón - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	México - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.02.25	Parla - Torrejón	2:1
22.09.24	Torrejón - Parla	2:0
05.05.24	Torrejón - Parla	1:0
14.01.24	Parla - Torrejón	2:3
16.02.22	Torrejón - Parla	2:2
17.10.21	Parla - Torrejón	0:1
25.04.21	Parla - Torrejón	1:3

Parla - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide