Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Legia II		Legionovia Legionowo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.39	4.63	5.86
	1.39	4.63	5.86
	1.37	4.65	6.35	Watch
	1.44	4.15	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	4.51 ↑ (4.1)	5.9 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
64.7%

Draw
20%

Legionovia Legionowo
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Legionovia Legionowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia II won 1.

Legia II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legionowo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legia II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Legia II is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Legia II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Cup
31.10.23	Legia II - Korona Kielce	2:4 ET ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Wikielec - Legia II	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Legia II	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWW
- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	GKS Bełchatów - Legionovia Legionowo	6:0 ✺
18.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:2 ✺
07.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Wikielec - Legionovia Legionowo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.06.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	3:1
10.11.22	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2
23.04.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	2:0
11.09.21	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1
15.05.21	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1
03.04.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	3:1
21.10.20	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	0:1

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