Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Legia II		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.1
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	3	3.35	2.1
	2.9	3.34	2.14
	2.96	3.5	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.94)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
30.9%

Draw
27%

Polonia Warsaw
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2%)

Legia II - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia II won 0.

Recent matches Legia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Legia II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.22	Legia II - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	3:2 ✺
27.04.22	Legia II - Wissa Szczuczyn	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Legia II - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.04.22	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Biała Piska	3:1 ✺
27.04.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kutno	5:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
13.04.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.10.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	2:3
16.06.21	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	0:3
08.05.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	1:2
14.11.20	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	1:0
21.08.19	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	3:0
29.05.19	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	3:1
15.08.18	Legia II - Polonia Warsaw	2:1

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