Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.45	1.77
	3.91	3.38	1.78
	3.96	3.52	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.84)	3.45 ↓ (3.74)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
23%

Draw
26.3%

Polonia Warsaw
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.5%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.4%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1.

Recent matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.04.22	Unia Skierniewice - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
20.04.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wissa Szczuczyn	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	ŁKS Łódź II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.04.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kutno	5:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
13.04.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Polonia Warsaw - Ursus Warszawa	5:0 ✺
26.03.22	Polonia Warsaw - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.09.21	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
18.10.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
24.08.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
31.03.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	2:0
19.08.18	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0
02.05.18	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
24.09.17	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:0

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