Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 24

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Legia II		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.55	6.3
	1.4	4.5	5.77
	1.37	4.77	6.6	Watch
	1.36	4	7
	1.35	4.35	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.43 ↓ (4.64)	6.65 ↓ (7.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
66%

Draw
20.4%

Wisła Płock II
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.5%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Legia II - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Boczon R. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Kosiorek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bielka A. 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Mozie P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 6).

Legia II has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wisła Płock II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wisła Płock II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Legia II is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Legia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Legia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Legia II - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4 ✺
25.03.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Legia II	1:2
11.05.25	Wisła Płock II - Legia II	0:3
30.10.24	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:2

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