Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday


	Legia Warsaw		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.97	3.6	3.16	Watch
	1.96	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	3.68 ↓ (3.75)	3.23 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
46.7%

Draw
25%

Qarabağ Agdam
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 8. Augustyniak R. 27. Josue (C) 33. Kun P. 20. Muci E. 12. Pankov R. 7. Pekhart T. 5. Ribeiro Y. 99. Slisz B. 18. Sokolowski P. 13. Wszolek P.	1. Mahammadaliyev S. (C) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 8. Jankovic M. 17. Keyta H. 15. Leandro Andrade 81. Medina K. 13. Mustafazada B. 6. Romao J. 29. Vesovic M. 19. Xhixha R. 10. Zoubir A.

Preview

Neutral location.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Legia have a series of home games.

Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
28.06.23	Legia Warsaw - Botoșani	5:0 ✺
24.06.23	Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.05.23	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1 ✺
20.05.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Club Friendly
27.06.23	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	3:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.05.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz	3:1 ✺
22.05.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
08.05.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Legia Warsaw - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3

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