Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Legionovia Legionowo		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2	3.4	3.15
	2.04	3.45	3.05
	1.98	3.34	3.11
	2.04	3.54	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legionovia Legionowo
44.2%

Draw
26.2%

Polonia Warsaw
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

18.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legionovia Legionowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legionovia Legionowo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 3).

Legionowo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Polonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legionowo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Legionowo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.21	Unia Skierniewice - Legionovia Legionowo	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Wissa Szczuczyn	3:0 ✺
16.10.21	Wikielec - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
13.10.21	Legionovia Legionowo - ŁKS Łódź II	4:2 ✺
10.10.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.21	Polonia Warsaw - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	ŁKS Łódź II - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Polonia Warsaw - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
16.10.21	Broń Radom - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
13.10.21	Polonia Warsaw - Mamry Giżycko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.05.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	5:1
18.04.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	3:3
29.08.20	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	0:0
12.05.19	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
22.09.18	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	0:2
Polish Division 2
08.04.17	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
10.09.16	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	2:2

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