Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 23 May 2026, Saturday
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Leioa |
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Touring KE |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
3 |
3.2 |
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2.1 |
2.98 |
3.3 |
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2.19 |
3.03 |
3.28 |
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2.19 |
3.08 |
3.27 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
2.88 |
3.3 |
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2.14 |
3.23 |
3.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
3.3 ↓
(3.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leioa
42.3% | Draw
30% | Touring KE
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Touring KE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leioa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Touring KE than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Leioa - Touring KE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Llorente M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Rementeria A. B. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Sevillano U. ⚽,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 97', 2 - 2, Blanco A. ⚽,
- 116', 2 - 3, Dorronsoro O. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3.Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Touring's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Recently, Touring has had a series of home games. Leioa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Leioa - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 | | | 16.05.26 | Touring KE - Leioa | 0:1 | | 01.04.26 | Touring KE - Leioa | 2:1 | | 22.11.25 | Leioa - Touring KE | 0:3 | | 03.05.25 | Leioa - Touring KE | 3:2 | | 21.12.24 | Touring KE - Leioa | 0:4 | | 27.01.24 | Touring KE - Leioa | 2:1 | | 10.09.23 | Leioa - Touring KE | 1:1 |
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