The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farense U19 47.3%
Draw 26.2%
Leiria U19 26.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
27.8%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
26.4%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense U19's performance.
Leiria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U19 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (+4%)
Farense U19 - Leiria U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).
Farense U19 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Leiria U19 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leiria U19 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.