Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Leixões		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.4
	3.04	3.25	2.5
	3.03	3.20	2.27	Watch
	3.07	3.23	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.77)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leixões
31.4%

Draw
29.2%

Torreense
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Leixões - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Torreense will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Torreense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 5. Naldo 30. Serif N. 11. Agra S. 13. Evrard Zag 6. Paulinho 7. Werton 91. Valente R. 9. Bica	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 4. Casas A. 23. Vazquez J. 26. Simoes A. 93. Mohamed D. 65. Guilherme Liberato 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
22. Araujo C. 66. Balde A. 48. Diarra I. 18. Kanuric B. 1. Morro M. (G) 10. Paulite 4. Rafael Santos 94. Rajani M. 35. Rochez B.	77. Afonso Peixoto 46. Agbor B. 99. Arielson 10. Costinha 57. Danilo 17. Jaiteh M. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 31. Seydi I.
Coaches
Fonseca J. N.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Werton 🟨,
40', Simoes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
56', Valente R. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
66', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Costinha ↑,
68', Paulinho ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
68', Werton ↓, Paulite ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Bica ⚽,
72', Simoes A. ↓, Pite ↑,
72', David Bruno ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
84', Vazquez J. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
84', Zohi K. ↓, Arielson ↑,
87', Bica ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
87', Agra S. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
88', Casas A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.

In recent matches, Leixões has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torreense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Leixões - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.42%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	Leiria - Leixões	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Amarante - Leixões	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Porto B - Torreense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.05.25	Torreense - Leixões	3:2
12.01.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:1
14.04.24	Leixões - Torreense	1:1
03.12.23	Torreense - Leixões	0:0
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0
05.11.22	Leixões - Torreense	1:0

Upcoming Matches