Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 10

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Lemense FC		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.07	3.21	3.1
	2.1	3.18	3.28
	2.04	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.77)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.26 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
43.9%

Draw
28.4%

Itapirense
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

28.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lemense FC's form might have worsened.

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itapirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lemense FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itapirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Lemense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lemense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.24	Rio Preto - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Lemense FC - Grêmio Prudente	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Marília - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lemense FC - Desportivo Brasil	1:3 ✺
07.02.24	União Suzano - Lemense FC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLW
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.24	Itapirense - União São João	2:4 ✺
10.02.24	Itapirense - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Itapirense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Catanduva - Itapirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTTL

Lemense FC - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide