Match Info
Paulista A3 - Round 10Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Itapirense |
|
União São João |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.98 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.84 |
2.9 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.82 |
3.04 |
2.44 |
 Watch |
 |
2.88 |
2.8 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.89 |
2.91 |
2.43 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.5) |
2.93 ↓
(3.11) |
2.44 ↓
(2.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Itapirense
31.9% | Draw
31% | União São João
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itapirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Alex Oliveira ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 1, Andre d. S. R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).Itapirense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).União São João has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).União São João may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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