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Current Win Probability
Lenense 10.4%
Draw 23.2%
Caudal Deportivo 66.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.6%
25.1%
61.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.2%
24.4%
63.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caudal Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lenense - Caudal Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Carcaba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Caudal Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Caudal Deportivo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Watch
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