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Current Win Probability
Mosconia 67.7%
Draw 21.8%
Condal 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
21.5%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.1%
20.5%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Condal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Condal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Mosconia - Condal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Mosconia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Condal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Condal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mosconia is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mosconia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Mosconia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1