Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)


	Leningradets		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.08	3.56
	2.18	3.08	3.56
	2.17	3.14	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	3.1 (3.1)	3.51 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
43.3%

Draw
30.1%

Sokol Saratov
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Karabashev N. (G) 7. Apekov R. 77. Bachinski M. 6. Beljaev M. 10. Gorelishvili M. 44. Kalugin N. 17. Kaptilov V. 97. Khityaev A. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. (C)	35. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 19. Azarov V. 11. Babaev V. 5. Batyrev A. 8. Dudiev A. 66. Gudkov Y. 55. Maksimenko A. 24. Maltsev M. 3. Pliev Z. 44. Serikov I. (C) 28. Zabelin P.
Substitutes
59. Davidenko K. 23. Ilyin S. 47. Kazakov R. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 30. Morozov N. 2. Nikolaev S. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 33. Yakovlev A. 91. Zaytsev A. (G) 90. Zhironkin V.	23. Abazov A. 99. Evdokimov A. 56. Ivakhnov M. 21. Kozlovsky N. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 27. Molodtsov A. 10. Morozov V. 7. Samko V. 65. Tolstopyatov N.
Coaches
Kiryakov S.	Baga A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Maltsev M. ⚽,
30', Shepelev V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Apekov R. ↓, Zhironkin V. ↑,
46', Khityaev A. ↓, Yakovlev A. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Babaev V. ⚽,
66', Shepelev V. ↓, Kazakov R. ↑,
66', Maksimenko A. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
66', Batyrev A. ↓, Tolstopyatov N. ↑,
76', Dudiev A. ↓, Molodtsov A. ↑,
76', Azarov V. ↓, Kozlovsky N. ↑,
78', Kolesnichenko K. 🟨,
80', Babaev V. ↓, Abazov A. ↑,
85', Gudkov Y. 🟨,
89', Kolesnichenko K. ↓, Ilyin S. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leningradets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Leningradets - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Shinnik - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
18.03.24	Leningradets - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
14.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
26.08.23	Sokol Saratov - Leningradets	0:1

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