The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sokol Saratov 23.7%
Draw 31%
Torpedo Moscow 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
30.3%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
26.8%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokol Saratov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
36. Levashov M. (G) 55. Bykov A. 5. Kovacevic V. 6. Pechenkin N. 19. Butaev A. 70. Daurov R. 51. Sinyak A. 8. Kahrimanovic A. 23. Churikov I. 11. Golijanin A. 69. Ermolin R.
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 84. Churilov V. 15. Danilkin E. 4. Borodin S. 90. Roganovic B. 79. Kashtanov A. 97. Curic M. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 7. Yushin A. 8. Galoyan A. 21. Lomakin A.
Substitutes
25. Bakharev G. 64. Dolya A. 27. Egorushkin A. 33. Gloydman N. 10. Gribov S. 13. Kireenko P. 92. Kostin V. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 18. Lazarev V. 17. Mukhin A. 21. Nikitin K. 42. Shaykhtdinov D.
12. Baburin E. (G) 9. Bakic D. 38. Chupayov A. 46. Dunay V. 3. Ivankov A. 5. Moskvichev V. 99. Shevchenko G. 73. Shitov V. 55. Stepanov D.
Coaches
Kascelan M.
Parfenov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Golijanin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Golijanin A. ↓, Gribov S. ↑,
68', Sinyak A. ↓, Mukhin A. ↑,
68', Daurov R. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,
72', Lomakin A. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
72', Yushin A. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
75', Kahrimanovic A. 🟨,
75', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
76', Ermolin R. ↓, Bakharev G. ↑,
76', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
86', Curic M. ↓, Shevchenko G. ↑,
87', Churilov V. ↓, Chupayov A. ↑,
90+1', Levashov M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 1.
Sokol Saratov is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Torpedo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Torpedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Torpedo is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Sokol Saratov - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.