Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 27

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.07	7.12
	1.48	4.07	7.12
	1.45	4.1	7.55	Watch
	1.45	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)	4.06 ↑ (3.7)	7.05 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
63.8%

Draw
23%

Leningradets
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

25.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

25.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 78. Bakaev S. 34. Dmitriev O. (C) 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 9. Kalmykov A. 55. Krizan M. 2. Marcinho 90. Orinho 18. Tananeev D. 7. Yushin A.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 6. Beljaev M. 10. Gorelishvili M. 44. Kalugin N. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. (C) 20. Volkov V. 33. Yakovlev A. 90. Zhironkin V.
Substitutes
95. Chernyshev D. 15. Kochiev K. 25. Kulikov D. 11. Kuznetsov D. 26. Meshchaninov A. 31. Shakerov R. (G) 88. Sokol A. 22. Sultonov M. 99. Timoshenko I. 33. Wesley Nata	7. Apekov R. 59. Davidenko K. 23. Ilyin S. 17. Kaptilov V. 47. Kazakov R. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 30. Morozov N. 2. Nikolaev S. 1. Smirnov E. (G)
Coaches
Artiga F.	Kiryakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Gordyushenko A. ⚽,
58', Rozmanov N. 🟨,
59', Yakovlev A. ↓, Kolesnichenko K. ↑,
59', Zhironkin V. ↓, Kaptilov V. ↑,
60', Kolesnichenko K. 🟨,
64', Rozmanov N. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
66', Yushin A. 🟨,
70', Kalmykov A. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
75', Timoshenko I. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Gordyushenko A. ⚽,
79', Dmitriev O. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
79', Bakaev S. ↓, Kulikov D. ↑,
80', Shepelev V. ↓, Kazakov R. ↑,
86', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Sultonov M. ↑,
86', Marcinho ↓, Meshchaninov A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 15).

Rodina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leningradets is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rodina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rodina is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
07.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
18.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
13.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Ural	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
09.03.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLW
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
06.04.24	Leningradets - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Shinnik - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
18.03.24	Leningradets - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Leningradets - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.07.23	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
15.06.21	Rodina Moscow - Leningradets	1:5
09.08.20	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow	5:2
Russian PFL West
16.07.19	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow	2:2

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