Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.48	4.63
	1.96	3.29	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)	4.45 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
49.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sokol Saratov
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+2%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 7. Aliev K. 17. Anisimov A. 14. Bragin V. 82. Ilyev D. 29. Mukhin A. 91. Noskov E. 30. Shavlokhov D. 33. Tsypchenko D. 20. Tur J. A. 13. Yanov D.	1. Kraykov T. (G) 19. Butaev A. 55. Bykov A. 23. Churikov I. 8. Kahrimanovic A. 5. Kovacevic V. 17. Mukhin A. 21. Nikitin K. 6. Pechenkin N. 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A.
Substitutes
19. Alcalde J. 6. Bagiev S. 18. Bolataev D. 51. Botnar V. (G) 8. Emeljanov R. 11. Gagloev A. 21. Gurban G. 9. Kutovoy M. 96. Maksimenko A. 71. Masternoy V. 3. Pliev K.	70. Daurov R. 69. Ermolin R. 33. Gloydman N. 10. Gribov S. 13. Kireenko P. 18. Lazarev V. 36. Levashov M. (G) 42. Shaykhtdinov D.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.	Kascelan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Churikov I. 🟨,
19', Kahrimanovic A. 🟨,
45', Bragin V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sinyak A. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,
46', Churikov I. ↓, Shaykhtdinov D. ↑,
65', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Gribov S. ↑,
70', Lazarev V. 🟨,
76', Yanov D. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
85', Bragin V. ↓, Kutovoy M. ↑,
88', Shpitalnyi V. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
90+1', Nikitin K. ↓, Kireenko P. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

SKA Khabarovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SKA Khabarovsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWLW
- Sokol Saratov
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Ufa	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.25	Broke Boys - Sokol Saratov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.11.24	Sokol Saratov - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1
23.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	2:2
30.03.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1
Russian Cup
27.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	2:1 penalties
Russian FNL
29.07.23	Sokol Saratov - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
12.03.17	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	1:1
17.08.16	Sokol Saratov - SKA Khabarovsk	2:3

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