The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 61.9%
Draw 23.1%
Certaldo 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
26.7%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
25.6%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Certaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Lentigione is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Certaldo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Lentigione is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Lentigione to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lentigione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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