The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 62.7%
Draw 22.7%
Crema 14.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.4%
25.7%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
24.8%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lentigione's performance.
Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Lentigione - Crema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Lucchini M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Addiego Mobilio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 4.
In recent outings, Lentigione has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Crema is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Crema may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Lentigione as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Lentigione has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:7 (averaging 1.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lentigione against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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