Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Lentigione		Pro Palazzolo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.11	3.68
	1.92	3.16	3.9	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.9
	1.85	3.18	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lentigione
47.7%

Draw
29.1%

Pro Palazzolo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pro Palazzolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lentigione - Pro Palazzolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Lentigione is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pro Palazzolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lentigione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lentigione has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lentigione is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lentigione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lentigione	6	4	1	1	9:6	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Lentigione - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lentigione - Progresso	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Lentigione - Tuttocuoio	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Lentigione - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWW
- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.04.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Pro Palazzolo	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pro Palazzolo - Crema	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Trevigliese - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Pro Palazzolo - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Progresso - Pro Palazzolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
01.03.26	Pro Palazzolo - Lentigione	1:2
26.10.25	Lentigione - Pro Palazzolo	0:1

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