Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Donawitz Stadium (Leoben)

Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)


	Leoben		Sturm Graz B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	5	6
	1.38	5	6.5
	1.44	5.54	5.9
	1.42	5.54	5.75
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.4	5.15	6.37	Watch
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	5.25 ↓ (5.47)	6.36 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leoben
67.6%

Draw
17.7%

Sturm Graz B
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

17%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

16.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leoben has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leoben than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Leoben - Sturm Graz B Predictions

Users Predictions: Leoben will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Pelko Z. (G) 5. Horvat M. 23. Weberbauer J. 11. Halili D. 2. Turi J. 77. Eskinja J. 18. Untergrabner M. 6. Pichler N. 30. Friesenbichler K. 19. Alar D. 7. Dieng Ch.	40. Bignetti M. (G) 6. Haider G. 9. Kiedl P. 10. Ilic A. 15. Krasniqi E. 16. Scharmer T. 18. Grube L. 21. Stuckler S. 27. Pirker S. 29. Stosic N. 30. Mustafic S.
Substitutes
22. Amoah W. 20. Halper C. 8. Hepburn B. 9. Hirschhofer T. 34. Kinzl F. (G) 24. Perthel T. 27. Stojcevic I.	13. Amreich M. 44. Kante A. 8. Karner J. 17. Locker J. 34. Nelson S. 42. Osayantin R. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
Coaches
Jancker C.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Turi J. ⚽, Friesenbichler K. (A),
30', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krasniqi E. ↓, Karner J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Alar D. ⚽, Friesenbichler K. (A),
62', Stuckler S. ↓, Locker J. ↑,
62', Scharmer T. ↓, Amreich M. ↑,
69', Friesenbichler K. ↓, Hirschhofer T. ↑,
69', Halili D. ↓, Perthel T. ↑,
70', Eskinja J. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽,
80', Pelko Z. 🟨,
80', Ilic A. 🟨,
80', Horvat M. 🟨,
80', Grube L. 🟨,
82', Dieng Ch. ↓, Amoah W. ↑,
82', Weberbauer J. 🟨,
86', Alar D. ↓, Halper C. ↑,
89', Pirker S. ↓, Nelson S. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leoben is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sturm Graz B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sturm Graz B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leoben is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leoben won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DSV Leoben
Austrian 2 Liga
20.05.24	Dornbirn - Leoben	2:1 ✺
17.05.24	Leoben - Bregenz	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Admira - Leoben	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Leoben - St. Pölten	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Lafnitz - Leoben	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTW
- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
20.05.24	Sturm Graz B - Stripfing	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	Ried - Sturm Graz B	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Sturm Graz B - Lafnitz	1:4 ✺
03.05.24	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
26.11.23	Sturm Graz B - Leoben	0:2

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