Match Info

2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bosnjak S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	15:30	Laola1
Germany	15:30	Laola1
Switzerland	15:30	LAOLA1
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Liefering		Sturm Graz B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.90	2.65
	2.25	3.75	2.55
	2.20	4.33	2.80
	2.14	4.19	2.79	Watch
	2.16	4.25	2.70
	2.50	3.97	2.40	Watch
	2.16	3.90	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.01)	4.04 ↑ (3.98)	2.64 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liefering
41.8%

Draw
23%

Sturm Graz B
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

23.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

22.4%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liefering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liefering than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liefering, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturm Graz B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Liefering - Sturm Graz B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hupfauf T. (G) 47. Hussauf J. 45. Masching N. 13. Pokorny J. 28. Traore L. 25. Riquelme 22. Matjasec M. 16. Ivanschitz I. 20. Aleksic F. 11. Adejenughure O. 40. Matijasevic F.	41. Lorenz E. (G) 19. Nnamdi K. 31. Pernot B. 15. Roche E. 66. Morgenstern L. 12. Peinhart J. 17. Locker J. 5. Maierhofer B. 21. Grgic M. 11. Gurmann T. 9. Lang N.
Substitutes
6. Grudzinskas D. 17. Kosakiewic R. 19. Moser J. 44. Onwuzulike I. 1. Ozegovic B. (G) 37. Yuri Leles 24. Zangerl J.	2. Bakhty S. 1. Donat N. (G) 20. Gratzei J. 47. Osayantin R. 22. Petritsch J. 60. Ploner J. 13. Wolf J.
Coaches
Galm D.	Wurm C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Adejenughure O. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Traore L. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Gurmann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Adejenughure O. 🟨,
63', Matijasevic F. ↓, Yuri Leles ↑,
63', Ivanschitz I. ↓, Moser J. ↑,
65', Gurmann T. ↓, Petritsch J. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Yuri Leles ⚽,
70', Adejenughure O. ↓, Kosakiewic R. ↑,
70', Pokorny J. ↓, Onwuzulike I. ↑,
76', Locker J. ↓, Wolf J. ↑,
77', Grgic M. ↓, Ploner J. ↑,
85', Matjasec M. ↓, Grudzinskas D. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liefering won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Liefering has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liefering against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:7 goals (averaging 3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Liefering	10	4	2	4	20:22	-2	14
13	Sturm Graz II	10	2	2	6	16:24	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Liefering - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Liefering
Austrian 2 Liga
18.09.26	Floridsdorfer AC - Liefering	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Liefering - St. Pölten	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	ASK Voitsberg - Liefering	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Liefering - Austria Wien II	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	First Vienna - Liefering	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWT
- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.26	Sturm Graz B - Wacker Innsbruck	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Austria Salzburg - Sturm Graz B	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Sturm Graz B - Rapid Wien II	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Bregenz - Sturm Graz B	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Sturm Graz B - Admira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
10.03.26	Sturm Graz B - Liefering	0:1
15.08.25	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	2:2
14.03.25	Sturm Graz B - Liefering	1:0
30.08.24	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	2:2
03.05.24	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	4:1
21.10.23	Sturm Graz B - Liefering	1:1
26.05.23	Sturm Graz B - Liefering	4:2

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