Match Info

AUSTRIA: OFB CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Donawitz Stadium (Leoben)


	Leoben		Swarovski Tirol

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.75
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	3.53	4.4	1.75
	4	3.7	1.7
	4.05	4.05	1.72	Watch
	4	3.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.83)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leoben
23.2%

Draw
23.2%

Swarovski Tirol
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leoben has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leoben than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swarovski Tirol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Leoben - Swarovski Tirol Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leoben will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Wiegele F. (G) 19. Alar D. 22. Amoah W. 4. Brkic L. 77. Eskinja J. 30. Friesenbichler K. 11. Halili D. 33. Heinrich M. 5. Horvat M. 6. Pichler N. (C) 2. Turi J.	13. Ozegovic B. (G) 5. Bacher F. 11. Buksa A. 8. Diarra M. 77. Ertlthaler J. 98. Ogrinec S. 22. Okungbowa O. 26. Stumberger D. 6. Sulzbacher L. 30. Taferner M. 21. Votter Y.
Substitutes
9. Hirschhofer T. 7. Pecnik T. 28. Pelko Z. (G) 24. Perthel T. 13. Umjenovic S. 18. Untergrabner M. 23. Weberbauer J.	19. Forst J. 28. Geris T. 3. Gugganig D. 17. Naschberger J. 9. Prelec N. 14. Ranacher A. 40. Stejskal A. (G)

Preview

Leoben has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Swarovski Tirol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swarovski Tirol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Swarovski Tirol is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Swarovski Tirol to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DSV Leoben
Austrian 2 Liga
22.09.23	Leoben - Floridsdorfer AC	0:4 ✺
15.09.23	Leoben - Grazer AK	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Kapfenberger SV - Leoben	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Leoben - First Vienna	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	Ried - Leoben	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
23.09.23	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	2:3 ✺
17.09.23	Austria Lustenau - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Dornbirn - Swarovski Tirol	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.09.23	Swarovski Tirol - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:4 ✺
27.08.23	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT

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