Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
World	Onefootball


	Swarovski Tirol		Wolfsberger

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.52
	2.77	3.44	2.62
	2.63	3.44	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.45
	2.69	3.49	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	2.56 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
35.2%

Draw
28%

Wolfsberger
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Swarovski Tirol (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Swarovski Tirol (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Stejskal A. (G) 23. Boras M. 5. Lawrence J. 14. Kubatta D. 17. Naschberger J. 4. Muller V. (C) 30. Taferner M. 20. Bockle B. 8. Baden Frederiksen N. 9. Ola-Adebomi A. 37. Wels M.	12. Polster N. (G) 2. Matic B. 31. Wohlmuth F. 37. Wimmer N. (C) 77. Renner R. 23. Kujovic E. 30. Sulzner M. 7. Gattermayer A. 20. Zukic D. 10. Avdijaj D. 24. Ngankam J.
Substitutes
11. Anselm T. 13. Eckmayr A. (G) 28. Geris T. 3. Gugganig D. 16. Hinterseer L. 27. Jaunegg D. 10. Sabitzer T. 6. Sulzbacher L. 21. Votter Y.	34. Agyeman E. 17. Atanga D. 22. Baumgartner D. 15. Diabate C. 13. Gruber T. 1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 9. Kojzek E. 4. Morgenstern M. 8. Piesinger S.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Atalan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ngankam J. ⚽, Zukic D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Muller V. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Naschberger J. ↓, Sulzbacher L. ↑,
69', Avdijaj D. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Ola-Adebomi A. ⚽, Muller V. (A),
78', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
83', Sulzner M. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
83', Gattermayer A. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
90', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Wels M. ⚽, Sulzbacher L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.

Recent performances by Swarovski Tirol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsberger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q. (Knee Injury) Gugganig D. (Muscle Injury) Taferner M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsberger: Diabate C. (Injury) Pink M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Kubatta D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:35. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Tirol	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWT
- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Wolfsberger - Rheindorf Altach	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	LASK Linz - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	0:0
31.08.25	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	1:1
22.02.25	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	3:3
29.09.24	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	1:3
18.05.24	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	3:1
16.03.24	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	1:1
17.02.24	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	4:1

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