The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones 20.1%
Draw 29.6%
Unión Magdalena 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
29.1%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones's form might have worsened.
Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Magdalena's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Leones - Unión Magdalena Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Magdalena will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Arboleda J. (G) 10. Ceballos A. 6. Fruto R. (C) 30. Granados R. 3. Marmolejo D. 13. Moreno D. 11. Palacios L. 26. Posada S. 18. Restrepo S. 2. Sanchez Y. 21. Segura O.
1. Cabezas V. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 23. Congo J. 22. Giraldo J. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. 10. Mercado J. (C) 18. Molina F. 5. Penaloza J. 20. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
4. Garcia D. 9. Gomez C. 28. Hincapie F. 1. Holguin C. (G) 8. Martinez J. 15. Pena J. 29. Puello G. 16. Renteria J. 20. Ruiz J.
2. Ballesteros M. 7. Carreno A. 19. Diaz K. 12. Mojica D. (G) 8. Perez J. 29. Pimienta J. 25. Sagrera W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽,
18', Restrepo S. 🟨,
26', Fruto R. 🟨,
42', Moreno D. 🟨,
45+4', Ceballos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Giraldo J. ↓, Carreno A. ↑,
46', Restrepo S. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
51', Molina F. 🟨,
54', Lerma J. 🟨,
56', Ceballos A. ↓, Pena J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Molina F. ⚽,
67', Moreno D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
67', Posada S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Carreno A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Arrieta G. ↓, Pimienta J. ↑,
74', Lerma J. ↓, Ballesteros M. ↑,
77', Palacios L. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
78', Granados R. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Iguaran C. ⚽,
87', Iguaran C. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
88', Mercado J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 2.
Unión Magdalena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Unión Magdalena will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leones won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
U. Magdalena
11
3
3
5
10:12
-2
12
15
Leones
11
2
4
5
8:17
-9
10
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Magdalena - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Restrepo S. 
Molina F. 
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