Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Leonesa		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	2.82	3	2.52	Watch
	2.97	3.24	2.58
	3.09	3.12	2.38	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.13	3.18	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)	2.41 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
30.9%

Draw
30.1%

Leganés
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leganés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	10%	75%

Leonesa - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Leganés will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 56% – 94%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leganés (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leganés will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leganés (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 28. Ojeda T. 7. Collado D. 18. Paraschiv D. 10. Chacon L.	1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Saenz J. (C) 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 24. Diawara A. 16. Melero G. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. 9. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 2. Mboula J. 26. Rafus A. (G) 19. Sobrino R. 31. Toca N.	21. Campos A. 10. Cruz J. 15. Franquesa E. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 14. Lopez R. 23. Millan A. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Llona R.	Lopez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Garcia N. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
62', Paraschiv D. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
62', Collado D. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
71', Melero G. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
72', Garcia D. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
75', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
75', Pibe ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
76', Bicho ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
80', Marvel ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
80', Duk ↓, Millan A. ↑,
83', Hinojo R. ↓, Larios J. ↑,

Preview

Leonesa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leganés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Leganés has had a series of home games.

Leganés could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Leonesa - Almería	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.25	Leganés - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Huesca - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Leonesa - Leganés	2:3 ET

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