Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2
	3.4	2.95	2
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.7	3.05	2.15
	3.58	3.13	2.1
	3.35	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)	2.08 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
26%

Draw
30%

Leonesa
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

33.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

32.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leonesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.03.23	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Linense	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.03.23	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Leonesa - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Córdoba - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Leonesa - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.22	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	4:1
17.04.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	0:3
20.11.21	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.05.19	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:2
22.12.18	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0

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