Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.91
	3.6	3	1.98
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.63	2.95	2.04
	3.73	3.23	2.06
	4.4	2.88	1.75
	3.77	3.1	2.04
	3.65	3.15	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
24.1%

Draw
29.8%

Leonesa
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

30.7%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

29.9%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 15. Hermoso K. 4. Suarez P. 23. Camacho S. 20. Garcia S. 6. Arnedo A. 18. Tavares R. 12. Navarro S. 7. Enri R. 19. Fernandez A.	1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 4. Coch A. 20. Rodri Suarez 17. Martinez A. 22. Muguruza J. 6. Presa K. (C) 8. Barri 18. Solar M. 16. Berto 21. Rodri
Substitutes
3. Casado J. 9. Cortes J. 34. Dias J. 36. Guille B. 11. Martinez J. 16. Nakai T. 10. Perez P. 21. Reguera F. 22. Rodriguez G. 13. Sarr C. (G)	13. Amigo (G) 14. Bicho J. 11. Bilbao L. 9. Guillermo 28. Ortega G. 3. Pol J. 10. Rey A. 12. Toca N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Tarazona - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.01.24	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Teruel - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Leonesa - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.23	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1
11.03.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa	1:1
06.11.22	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:3
04.03.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa	1:0
27.08.21	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2
Club Friendly
25.09.20	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1

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