The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leonesa 49.4%
Draw 28.4%
Lugo 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
27.7%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.1%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leonesa - Lugo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 3. Satrustegui E. 5. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 14. Bicho 8. Barri 20. Alba T. 6. Presa K. 22. Pibe 9. Justo M.
1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. 3. Zoilo A. 11. Perero G. 8. Gonzalez Y. 24. Martinez R. 22. Vaquero 10. Cabo J. 7. Hernandez R.
Substitutes
13. Amigo A. 21. Artola J. 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 23. Lopez D. 16. Maestre S. 12. Ortega G. 4. Rodri Suarez 15. Ruiz V.
9. Antonetti L. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 19. Cuellar J. 27. Gonzalez J. 6. Nicholas N. 28. Noya D. 17. Ochoa M. 29. Rubal P. 20. Sanchez M. 14. Vidal D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Justo M. ⚽,
26', Barri 🟨,
39', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Barri ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Garcia V. 🟨,
57', Pibe 🟨,
57', Zoilo A. 🟨,
59', Vaquero ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
59', Perero G. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
59', Hernandez R. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
63', Barri ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
63', Alba T. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
68', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
68', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
71', Presa K. 🟨,
72', Cabo J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
74', Ruiz E. 🟨,
78', Cuellar J. 🟨,
78', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
85', Bicho ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2.
Leonesa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Leonesa have a series of guest games.
In this match Leonesa is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Spain
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Banuz M. (G) 
Garcia V. 
Pibe 
Antonetti L. 
Cuellar J. 
Nicholas N. 
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