Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Leonesa B		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.5	2.95	2.1
	3.5	3.08	2.1	Watch
	3.47	3.08	2.06
	3.5	2.95	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.68)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa B
27%

Draw
30%

Atlético Astorga
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

29.6%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3%)

Leonesa B - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Cabral A. S. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Alvarez A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa B won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Leonesa B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlético Astorga have a series of home games.

Atlético Astorga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leonesa B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:19 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.03.25	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Leonesa B - Becerril	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Briviesca - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Leonesa B - Mojados	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.03.25	Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Mansillés	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.10.24	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:1
13.01.24	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	1:1
11.02.23	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:1
08.10.22	Leonesa B - Atlético Astorga	1:5
16.04.22	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:3
04.12.21	Leonesa B - Atlético Astorga	2:3
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	2:3

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