Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Astorga		Almazán

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.25
	1.44	4	6.4
	1.43	3.87	6.02
	1.44	4.06	6.72	Watch
	1.4	4.15	6.96
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	3.98 ↓ (4)	6.46 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
63.2%

Draw
22.7%

Almazán
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Almazán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Atlético Astorga - Almazán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Lopes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Lopes J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Astorga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Astorga is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.02.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLW
- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.01.25	Becerril - Almazán	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Almazán - Villaralbo	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Briviesca - Almazán	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Almazán - Mojados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Almazán - Atlético Astorga	0:3
28.01.23	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	3:1
25.09.22	Almazán - Atlético Astorga	1:4
02.02.22	Almazán - Atlético Astorga	3:0
04.09.21	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	0:1
14.12.19	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.09.17	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	1:1

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