Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Leonesa B		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.3	1.65
	4.53	3.51	1.74	Watch
	5	3.1	1.67
	5.25	3.34	1.64
	5.33	3.33	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.97)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa B
18.1%

Draw
27.4%

Atlético Tordesillas
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

28.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tordesillas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tordesillas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Choco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Perez D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 2.

Leonesa B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tordesillas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Tordesillas is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Leonesa B	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.12.25	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leonesa B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Villaralbo - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Unionistas B - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Leonesa B - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTTL
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mojados	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almazán - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.04.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Leonesa B	2:1
16.11.24	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1
26.05.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Leonesa B	1:2
19.05.24	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4
07.01.24	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0
15.01.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Leonesa B	2:1
11.09.22	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1

Upcoming Matches