Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Tordesillas		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.82	3.15
	2.6	2.74	2.98
	2.63	2.7	2.8
	2.62	3.14	2.72
	2.54	2.66	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tordesillas
36.2%

Draw
32.6%

Atlético Palencia
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tordesillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tordesillas's form might have worsened.

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tordesillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, Hernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tordesillas won 5.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tordesillas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tordesillas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tordesillas - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.11.25	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.11.25	Atlético Palencia - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Palencia - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Palencia - Unionistas B	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1
14.09.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	2:0
20.01.24	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2
09.04.23	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2
11.12.22	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	1:0
09.04.22	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	3:4
28.11.21	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Palencia	2:0

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