Match Info

ARMENIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday


	Lernayin Artsakh		Ararat

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	5.1	3.57	1.72
	5	3.2	1.67
	4.95	3.42	1.69	Watch
	4.8	3.55	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.18)	3.43 ↑ (3.26)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lernayin Artsakh
18.8%

Draw
26.7%

Ararat
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

28%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

27.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lernayin Artsakh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lernayin Artsakh than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ararat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Lernayin Artsakh - Ararat Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lernayin Artsakh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ararat will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lernayin Artsakh won 1.

Lernayin Artsakh has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ararat is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ararat is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lernayin Artsakh won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lernayin Artsakh won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lernayin Artsakh
Armenian Premier League
21.05.23	Pyunik - Lernayin Artsakh	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Lernayin Artsakh - Urartu Yerevan	0:4 ✺
09.05.23	BKMA Yerevan - Lernayin Artsakh	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Alashkert - Lernayin Artsakh	1:0 ✺
25.04.23	Lernayin Artsakh - Noah Yerevan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
20.05.23	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	1:0 ✺
15.05.23	Van - Ararat	3:1 ✺
08.05.23	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	0:0 ✺
03.05.23	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Ararat - Alashkert	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
31.03.23	Ararat - Lernayin Artsakh	2:0
12.11.22	Ararat - Lernayin Artsakh	0:0
09.09.22	Lernayin Artsakh - Ararat	2:1
06.05.19	Ararat - Lernayin Artsakh	2:1
10.03.19	Lernayin Artsakh - Ararat	0:0
27.10.18	Ararat - Lernayin Artsakh	0:0
22.08.18	Lernayin Artsakh - Ararat	1:1

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