Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Ararat		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	15.5	7.3	1.1
	12.48	6.59	1.16	Watch
	16	7.2	1.1	Watch
	15	7.5	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.75 ↑ (12.48)	7.15 ↑ (6.59)	1.12 ↓ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
6.2%

Draw
12.7%

Noah Yerevan
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.3%

13.9%

78.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Ararat - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 4. Samsonyan V. 24. Moustapha H. I. 5. Kartashyan A. 54. Marcello 10. Grigoryan A. 78. Modolwana A. 8. Djire A. 42. Fofana M. 19. Johna J. 15. Doumbia K.	22. Cancarevic O. (G) 19. Hambardzumyan H. 39. Saintini N. 44. Zolotic N. 4. Thorarinsson G. 7. Ferreira H. 17. Sangare G. 23. Khamoyan A. 27. Manvelyan G. 32. Mulahusejnovic N. 9. Matheus Aias
Substitutes
77. Aleksanyan A. 30. Aslanyan A. 7. Handzongo P. 17. Kacou E. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 9. Lulukyan G. 14. Maknoun Z. 71. Martirosyan A. (G) 25. Ouattara A. 28. Simonyan G. 11. Sogodogo Y.	18. Avanesyan A. 6. Boakye E. 10. Dashyan A. 30. Davtyan D. 88. Eteki Y. 16. Fayulu T. (G) 71. Fofana B. 77. Grgic A. 99. Harutyunyan H. 3. Muradyan S. 14. Oshima T. 33. Sualehe D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Djire A. 🟨,
32', Moustapha H. I. 🟨,
32', Manvelyan G. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Manvelyan G. ↓, Sualehe D. ↑,
46', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
46', Djire A. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
54', Oshima T. 🟨,
58', Khamoyan A. 🟨,
60', Samsonyan V. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Matheus Aias ⚽,
67', Johna J. 🟨,
68', Kartashyan A. ↓, Khachumyan A. ↑,
68', Johna J. ↓, Sogodogo Y. ↑,
68', Samsonyan V. ↓, Aslanyan A. ↑,
71', Grigoryan A. 🟨,
71', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
75', Matheus Aias ↓, Avanesyan A. ↑,
81', Khamoyan A. ↓, Harutyunyan H. ↑,
83', Hambardzumyan H. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 3, Sangare G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat won 1.

Ararat is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Noah is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ararat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ararat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Noah is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ararat won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
19.10.25	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ararat - BKMA Yerevan	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	6:0 ✺
12.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- FC Noah Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Universitatea Craiova - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
18.10.25	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Noah Yerevan - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
28.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
28.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	2:0
26.04.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	3:0
20.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0
15.09.24	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	2:1
09.05.24	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	0:1
07.03.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:3
03.11.23	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	0:2

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